Today's A-share market has finally seen a decline in the main board. The decline in small and medium-sized innovation stocks is limited, with banks and liquor stocks leading the sell-off, making the market trend extremely polarized, and most people have lost their direction.

The popular speculative stocks started the day with a "sky-floor" or hit the lower circuit directly. With this kind of play, you can be right nine times, but one time can give it all back to the market. On the left side, you can be wrong nine times, but being right once is enough. The issue of safety margin is that the bottom is just a base-building process, the main force is accumulating chips, and the top is the harvest...

Liquor stocks have fallen, bank stocks have fallen, is 2700 points far away?

Liquor and bank stocks are the weight stocks of the Shanghai Composite Index. Their sell-off is a good thing, and a rapid decline is also acceptable. 2700 points is not a very distant matter. Xiao Fan said that this week will set a new low, and it is likely to be a rebound after a suppression.

Advertisement

The small and medium-sized innovation index is similar in direction to the main board, but the intensity is different. If the Shanghai Composite Index falls by 10%, the ChiNext falls by 30%, so their rebound strength will also be greater. At present, the small and medium-sized innovation index seems to show signs of stopping the decline.

In summary, the current market is still a "chicken ribs" situation, neither increasing nor decreasing positions. Still, half-position rolling, keeping the bag, waiting for a sharp decline to pick up blood-stained chips. When there is no surplus food, no one can help, and we can only say that we are out of sync.

Medical stocks have rebounded due to favorable influences. Faced with this market, most people have once again despaired, until they cut their flesh, and I do not advise anyone. My own thought is that it is currently in the bottom area, and there will be profits in the future. This year, I will stock up on shares and reduce costs.

Today's market is easy to deal with. If the Shanghai Composite Index falls too much, just bottom-fish in batches, and then sell high in the afternoon, and it is likely to rebound after testing the bottom.

Get ready with the bag.No matter what others say, Xiao Fan's viewpoint is very clear: it's just a bottoming process, and one should keep a bag ready for a sharp drop, especially in the final accelerated decline of white liquor and banking stocks. Regardless of whether it will happen or not, if it doesn't, then we wait for a clear right-side signal to enter the market.

At present, being without reserves can lead to passivity; everyone knows their own situation. Those who are fully invested this year, especially those who have all their assets in A-shares or stocks, have they really made more money? By keeping reserves for a sharp drop, are we really missing out on many opportunities?

No one has unlimited reserves, and position management is a personal matter. It's not a technical job, but a matter of cognition and experience. Only those who lower their expectations and respect the market can manage their positions well. There are people in the market who think they miss out on 100 million yuan when they only have 100 yuan, how can they wait with cash for a drop? When the opportunity really comes, if you are fully invested and stuck, while others are making profits, it's hard for you to even recover your losses.

The overall index still has no problem; it will rebound after a drop. Stocks are hard to predict, and when they start to be traded based on names, it indicates the last hurrah. Many stocks will not rise again, but small and medium-sized innovation indices will rise, for example: the ChiNext board only needs 1 to 3 heavyweight stocks to rise.

In conclusion, index investing is slightly different from stock investing. This is because indices have a margin of error, while stocks do not. Among 5,000 small and medium-sized stocks, there will indeed be many strong performers. Even if there are 30% that are several times better, that's still over a thousand companies. However, how can you be sure that what you hold is not one of the other 3,000 or so?

Or, if you do hold one of the thousand strong stocks, whether you can hold on to it is also a question. Most people sell after a 30% increase and rarely hold a stock for a 300% profit.